Is this the moment for a spring break in Mexico or Canada?
The idea seems to be doubtful because the Trump administration confuses its neighbors by turning on and off the tariffs and questioning countless jobs. For travelers, however, industrial veterans say that this wave experience does not directly distinguish the costs for flights or accommodations in Mexico or Canada.
Since the tariffs are based on goods crossing and not on humans, they do not affect direct airlines and hotels. The tariff fight can also bring indirect effects that could increase the costs, fears or both travelers.
In all three countries, restaurants may soon pay more for ingredients and pass on the costs. In the Canadian province of Ontario, Premier Doug Ford ordered In state -managed spirits transactions to take American alcohol products out of their shelves.
At the marketing organization Destination Vancouver, communication director Suzanne Walters said that some US groups “get their short-term events in Vancouver under control”-not “due to job losses or cuts in state funding”.
When it comes to leisure travelers, “it is business as usual,” she said. “Our focus remains on being open and welcomed all of our visitors, and this will certainly include our American friends.”
People are waiting at Tom Bradley International Terminal in Lax. Last month, Air Canada, when the tariff conflict was heated, announced that he would reduce the service for several US cities.
(Luis Sinco / Los Angeles Times)
But the relationship is becoming more and more complicated. A web survey by the Canadian polling station Leger on March 5 “Trump Tariff Tariff Tracker” showed that 60% of the Americans surveyed to consider Canada as an ally 31% of Canadians The same in the USA said – and 30% said they are now seeing the United States as an enemy.
In the meantime in South -Baja -California “we have not seen any effects on bookings,” said Rodrigo Esponda, Managing Director of the Los Cabos Tourism Board. In fact, said Esponda, the number of flights from California to Los Cabos with the non -stop service from Oakland on March 20 and Ontario in June.
“Nobody,” said Esponda, “combines the ongoing (tariff) conversations with the hospitality element at the finish.”
March is the busiest month of the year, said Esponda and attracted more than 300,000 visitors. Since annual tourism after Los Cabos from 2.7 million in 2019 grown to 3.7 million in 2024, the average hotel prices there rose to $ 450 per night.
The tariff hostility that simmered for weeks escalated on Tuesday when the Trump government A imposed 25% tariff In imports from Mexico and Canada, they claim that these countries are both soft drug smugglersAlthough statistics show Canada's role in the US drug smuggling, it is minimal.
Canada Then said it would Phase in 25% tariffs for many US goods in the next three weeks. The Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum, who warned that no one would win under Trump's proposal, said Mexico would renovate and described Trump's claims of corruption Mexican drug trafficking as “insulting, defamatory and without support”.
Next, Trump moved to exclude automobiles from the measures. And then Trump turned the course on Thursday – two days after the new tariffs – and said that he would delay the tariffs for many Canadian and Mexican goods by April 2 (Trump also increased the tariffs in China by 10%, whereby retaliation is expected by China in the coming days.)
Apart from flight prices and hotel prices, the attitude and rhetoric have already eliminated some potential travelers, especially in Canada.
Another casual survey showed that 16% of Canadian surveyed trips to the United States canceled, while 1% of American respondents had canceled trips to Canada.
If higher tariffs are charged and take several weeks or more, the travel industry veterans say that they would expect a break -in of cross -border business trips, an important source of income for airlines and hotels. With fewer business travelers, airlines could reduce the number of flights, calculate or calculate leisure travelers more and hope less and hope to stimulate demand.
“If you see this type of delivery, you will see smaller aircraft and less frequency and higher costs,” said John Discala, editor of the Johnnyjet.com Newsletters and a frequent visitor in Canada. Discala noticed that Air Canada last month when the tariff conflict heated up Reduce service In several US cities.
A boat is framed by Cabo San Lucas, a granite rock formation at the southern end of Cabo San Lucas.
(Brian van der Brug / Los Angeles Times)
In much longer -term, higher tariffs would increase the costs of Building, buying and leasing jetsThe airlines stress to increase prices.
Even if the current patting situation cools down, bad blood could linger, several industry and not only in Canada. An SNAP survey, which was carried out on the day after the President Trump's speech, showed that 72% of experienced travelers expect Americans to be “less welcome and are perceived more negatively” due to Trump's global trading policy.
The survey carried out by Global Rescue, a provider of medical care, security and risk management services for travelers, more than 1,100 travelers surveyed after President Trump's speech on Tuesday.
“The data is clear – travelers expect a shift in how they are received abroad,” said Dan Richards, CEO of the global emergency companies, in a prepared explanation. “This does not mean that Americans should cancel their travel plans, but they should be aware of their surroundings, practice cultural sensitivity and take proactive steps to alleviate potential risks.”
On March 3, openjaw.com reported that the FlightCentre Travel Group Canada had a decline in the Canadian in the USA
When it comes to the attitude of Canadian hosts to American visitors, Discala said that he had not expected much fireworks. “Will Americans be welcome? All of my Canadian readers said they would be unless they wear a Maga hat or a 51st state shirt, ”he said. “You don't think it's funny at all. And I don't blame them. “
In Mexico there is another tariff situation that travelers can take into account. In December 2024, the Mexican Senate AA approved $ 42 per head tax Passengers on an incoming foreign cruise to enter into force on July 1st.
The move drew protests of cruise slices, but is anything but unique. Foreign tourists who arrived with air in Mexico have already been rated as a comparable tax. In the past two years, destinations in New Zealand, Greece and Iceland have imposed or strengthened taxes at the visit of cruises.